I use understandable language to help you comprehend, remember, and put into practice probability definitions, techniques, and processes. The conversational narrative comes from a student’s point of view. My nonlinear approach allows you to skip around in the book and still have easy access and understanding of any given topic. I focus on building strong problem-solving skills to help you develop a similar problem-solving strategy when you take exams. You see plenty of tips, strategies, and warnings based on my vast experience with students of all backgrounds and learning styles (and my experiences with grading their papers). I provide an extensive number of examples to cover the many different types of problems you face. Most probability books out there help you win casino games but don’t help you out much with the probability problems you see in a probability and/or statistics course. I focus on material that instructors cover in probability and/or statistics courses, in addition to real-world probability topics. This book is different from other probability books in many ways: I also include tips and strategies for playing games of chance, so if you do win the lottery, you can write about this book in your travel journal on the way to Fiji! You also gain practice interpreting probability and discovering what misconceptions and common errors you should avoid.Īlong the way, you find some interesting surprises and a bird’s eye view of how probability pulls on the strings of the real world. Because all probability problems tend to look different, I build strategies that help you identify what type of problem you’re working with, what tools you need to pull out to solve it, and what calculations get you the correct answer. This book gives you the tools to read, set up, and solve a wide range of probability problems. The design of this book allows you to quickly find out how to solve the probability questions you’re asking (or that you have to answer). The main goal of this book is to cut down the amount of time you spend spinning your wheels to figure out a probability. But don’t worry - this book is here to help. Or maybe you just heard your teacher say that the chance of two people in the class having the same birthday is 80 percent, and you think, No way can that be true - he must be crazy! Well, before you send your professor to the loony bin, know this: Probability and intuition don’t mix. You’re walking through an airport three states away from your home, and you see someone you knew from high school and say, What are the odds of that happening? Or you hear about someone who won the lottery not once, but twice, and you wonder if you could have the same luck. I suppose that’s the beauty as well as the curse of probability. A probability question can be so easy to ask, yet so hard to answer. Probability is all around you every day - in every decision you make and in everything that happens to you - yet it can’t ever give you a guarantee, which forces you to carry your umbrella and get a flu shot every year just in case.
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